In the ever-evolving landscape of the global precious metal market, where opulence meets economic significance, understanding the intricate trends and market dynamics is crucial. The market is valued at USD 241.31 billion in 2022, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.8% anticipated from 2023 to 2030. Exploring the many components of this sector exposes not just its current state, but also the possible development paths that lay ahead.

Key Updates

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Golden Thread In Cultural Celebrations: Gold’s prominence in the jewellery sector is deeply intertwined with cultural practices, particularly in India and China. These nations, witnessing millions of weddings annually, contribute significantly to the demand for gold in the form of intricately designed jewellery and ornaments. India, with an estimated wedding market valuation of over USD 40.27 billion in 2021, and China, recording nearly 6.83 million marriage registrations in 2022, present robust growth opportunities for the gold jewellery market segment.
U.S. Precious Metal Production & Market Dynamics: In the U.S., the total production of precious metals, as reported by the United States Geological Survey (USGS), reached approximately 1,195.6 tons in 2020. This production included nearly 200 tons of gold and around 15.6 tons of platinum group metals (PGM). Montana, home to Sibanye-Stillwater, emerged as the sole producer of PGM in the U.S.
Market Recovery & Influencing Factors: December 2022 witnessed a nuanced scenario in precious metal prices. Despite a slight recovery, prices remained below their March 2022 highs. Prevailing factors such as rising interest rates and a robust U.S. dollar outweighed gold demand. Soft consumer and investment demand impacted gold prices, while robust central bank purchases provided support.
Conversely, silver prices faced challenges from weak industrial demand, and platinum exhibited a stronger rebound, signalling a recovery in autocatalyst demand amidst supply challenges.
Demand Drivers: The gold segment continues to dominate, claiming the largest revenue share of 82.3% in 2022. Its high trading prices and extensive use in the jewellery sector contribute to this dominance. Steady growth in gold production, with new mines commissioned in 2019, further propels the demand trend for this precious commodity.

Market Dynamics Driving Force

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Industrial Prowess: The industrial application segment commands a substantial revenue share of 45.5% in 2022. Growth is attributed to the burgeoning electrical and electronics sector, wherein silver is a linchpin commodity used for various purposes.
Regional Dynamics: Asia-Pacific commands the largest revenue share of 59.0% in 2022, with China, India, and Japan being key global powerhouses. China, leading in gold and PGM consumption, is driven by a robust domestic manufacturing sector.
North America’s Growth Trajectory: North America anticipates a growth rate of 6.9% over the forecast period. Abundant silver resources in Mexico and a strong manufacturing base in the U.S. and Canada are expected to positively influence market growth.

Market Outlook

Projected to grow at a CAGR of 2.7%, silver remains a steadfast player in the market. Its wide usage across the industrial and jewellery sectors, coupled with a cost advantage over counterparts, ensures steady growth. Key production hubs in Mexico and Peru contribute significantly to the silver market.

OFB’s Insight

The global precious metal market unveils a tapestry of complexity and opportunity. The enduring allure of gold in cultural celebrations, the resilience of silver in industrial applications, and the evolving dynamics of platinum group metals (PGM) showcase contrasts and opportunities. Regional powerhouses, led by Asia-Pacific, navigate diverse trajectories, shaping a future where transparency and exploration are guiding stars. The precious metal market, adorned with elegance, embraces the dynamism defining its essence, promising a future where timeless treasures continue to captivate global markets.