Last week, the Mustard Seed market in Jaipur witnessed a surge with prices starting at Rs. 5725/50 per quintal on 11 September 2023 and ending the week at Rs. 5900 per quintal on 16 September 2023. This remarkable increase of Rs. 175 per quintal has caught the attention of market players and observers.

Driving Factors

During the last week, Mustard Oil prices increased by Rs. 3 per kg. This surge can be attributed to the growing demand for Mustard Oil, which is a staple in many Indian households.

Additionally, Mustard Seeds’ market availability decreased, further fueling the price surge. This reduction in supply was accompanied by heightened demand from mills, creating a strong bullish sentiment in the Mustard market.

The limited Mustard Seeds availability could lead to bids for NAFED’s action exceeding market rates. If there is strong participation at higher prices, it could bolster the current Mustard prices.

Festival Season Boost

Increased Mustard Oil demand during the upcoming festival season is expected. This surge in demand could lead to heightened crushing activities, further supporting Mustard prices.

Moreover, the strong demand for Mustard Meal, another key derivative of Mustard Seeds, will likely continue to provide a cushion for Mustard prices in the near future.

Market Outlook

Despite this surge, experts believe that the chances of a major decline in Mustard prices are minimal. The current market conditions, driven by strong demand and reduced supply, may create some pressure, but it’s unlikely to result in a significant price crash.

Taking all these factors into account, the future of Mustard prices remains somewhat uncertain, with NAFED’s sales being a pivotal factor.

Given the current market conditions and the anticipated rise in Mustard Oil consumption, prices are expected to stay within the range of Rs. 5600 to Rs. 6050. Significant declines are possible if the price changes, either falling below or rising above.

OFB’s Insight

The Mustard market in Jaipur has seen an exciting and positive week with a notable price increase. Several factors, including heightened demand for Mustard Oil and Mustard Meal, reduced Mustard Seed availability, and increased mill demand, have contributed to this surge. NAFED’s upcoming actions and the farmers’ harvesting activities will play a pivotal role in shaping the market’s direction. The anticipation of increased Mustard Oil demand during the festival season and continued interest in Mustard Meal are expected to support prices.

The future of the Mustard market in Jaipur currently hinges on NAFED’s selling prices. However, the consensus among experts is that the possibility of a significant price drop is low due to rising demand and tight supply.